First Name | Pam |
---|---|
Last Name | Brigg McKown |
Email Address | pambrimck@gmail.com |
Affiliation | Climate Action California |
Subject | LCFS |
Comment | The production of crop-based biofuels uses too much land, water and harmful chemicals to justify the subsidies it receives. We at Climate Action California (CAC) support removing corn ethanol and biomass-based diesel from california's LCFS program. This could help to reduce the amount of corn and soybeans produced by monoculture farming in the US, and increase the amount of rural land set aside for conservation or for organic or diversified farming. These changes could help to mitigate the climate, groundwater and biodiversity crises our rural areas are currently facing. The outsized negative effects of federal and state subsidies for crop-based biofuels are highlighted below. 1. Crops grown for the production of ethanol (corn) and biodiesel and renewable diesel (soybeans) cover about 20% of the entire cropland acreage in the US. According to the USDA's 2017 Census of Agriculture (results from the 2022 Census are not yet available) 320 million acres of cropland were harvested in 2017. Over half of the harvested acres were planted in either corn (almost 91 million acres) or soybeans (90 million acres). According to the USDA's Economic Research Service 45% of corn harvested in the US is used to produce ethanol and about 21% of soybeans harvested in the US is used to produce biofuels. Hence, about 41 million acres are being used annually to grow corn to produce ethanol and 19 million acres to grow soybeans for biodiesel or renewable diesel, suggesting that 60 million acres, almost one fifth of cropland, is being used to grow crops for biofuels. 2. Corn and soybeans grown to produce biofuels are major contributors to the pollution of ground and surface water. Fertilizers are responsible for substantial ground and surface water pollution. The Farm Bureau estimates that about half of the fertilizer (nitrogen, phosphate and potash) consumed annually in the US is used to grow corn, another 10% is used to grow soybeans. This suggests that 22% of the all the fertilizer used on crops in the US is used for corn to produce ethanol, and over 2% is used for soybeans to produce biofuels, i.e. almost one fourth of synthetic fertilizer use in the US is used on crops grown to produce biofuels. In addition, recent USDA NASS Chemical Use Surveys showed that corn farmers applied almost 2 pounds of herbicides per acre in 2021 and soy farmers almost 1.5 pounds of herbicides per acre in 2020. Corn and soy have traditionally been the greatest users of pesticides per acre (including insecticides and fungicides as well as herbicides). 3. Corn and soybeans grown to produce biofuels are major contributors to nitrous oxide greenhouse gas emissions. According to the EPA nitrogen fertilizers (synthetic and organic) are responsible for the majority of US nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions (which have a 100 year GWP of 265). On average, corn uses 246 pounds of fertilizer per acre of which 143 pounds (almost 60%) is nitrogen fertilizer, according to the USDA NASS Agricultural Chemical Use Survey of 2021, while soybeans use 70 pounds of fertilizer per acre of which only 5.5 pounds (8%) is nitrogen fertilizer, according to the USDA NASS Agricultural Chemical Use Survey of 2020. 4. Corn and soybeans grown to produce biofuels are major contributors to the unsustainable withdrawal of water from US aquifers. The 2017 Census of Agriculture reported that 54 million acres of cropland were irrigated in 2017. (See Historical Census Table 1: 2017 and earlier years, NASS, USDA) The crop with the most irrigated acreage was corn which accounted for 12 million acres of irrigated cropland. Soy acreage was second with 9 million acres irrigated. This suggests that 5.4 million acres of corn were irrigated to produce ethanol and 1.9 million acres of soy were irrigated to produce biofuels; or 13.5% of total irrigated acreage was used to produce biofuels. Increasingly, the source of water for irrigation is groundwater rather than surface water. As droughts are forecast to increase, the US will need to rely more on irrigation for both corn and soybeans. The Ogallala-High Plains Aquifer extends from South Dakota to Texas and provides water for eight states, but it is being depleted at an unsustainable rate. Irrigation is responsible for 90% of Ogallala groundwater withdrawals. 5. The production of ethanol, biodiesel and renewable diesel from corn and soybeans are also major users of water. The production of ethanol is more water intensive than the production of gasoline, requiring 3 gallons of water for every gallon of ethanol produced, compared to 2-2.5 gallons for gasoline. Most ethanol producers are located in the Midwest and rely on the Ogallala-High Plains Aquifer for their water needs. 6. Corn and soybeans grown to produce biofuels are major contributors to the worsening biodiversity crisis in rural areas. The massive use of corn and soy output for biofuel production in the US has fostered a monoculture system of farming in the US which has degraded soils and eliminated complex insect, bird and plant communities. Not only has this monoculture system reduced soil fertility it has reduced the ability of the ground to absorb water either for crops or aquifer recharge. Since corn and soy farmers do not require pollinators to produce their crops, the loss of bees and other pollinators in rural areas has not been a large concern to them, but has been a problem for other farmers. Crop-based biofuels and the monoculture they have encouraged have contributed mightily to the destruction of nature in our rural areas. 7. Corn and soybeans grown to produce biofuels have been responsible for increasing global food prices in developing countries. Corn, soybeans, ethanol, biodiesel and renewable diesel, like gasoline and diesel, are commodities that are widely traded in global markets. Corn and soybean oil prices influence the prices of their close substitutes which tend to be interchangeable for animal feed and human food. A 2008 World Bank study attributed the rapid increase in internationally traded food prices from 2002 to 2008 to EU and US policies that resulted in large increases in the production of corn ethanol and soy biodiesel. The IMF index of internationally traded food commodity prices increased 130% over this period. From 1/2005-6/2006 maize (corn) prices almost tripled, wheat prices increased 127%, soybean oil prices increased 192% and other vegetable oil prices increased by similar amounts. The World Bank study concluded that 70-75% of the increase in food commodity prices from 2002-2008 was due to the rapid increase in crop quantities used to produce biofuels over this period. Needless to say, the increase was devastating for the poor in developing countries who spend half their household income on food. More recently, as renewable diesel production in the US has rapidly grown, soybean oil prices have increased rapidly. According to Statista global soybean oil prices almost doubled from 2020 to 2022. The American Enterprise Institute recently attributed the large increase in all vegetable oil prices to the recent growth in renewable diesel production in the US. There is no doubt about the existence of a clear and substantial the link between crop-based biofuel production and higher food prices . 8. Almost all gasoline in the US is E10 (10% ethanol). Recently, the average content of ethanol in gasoline reached 10.5%. If the federal volume mandate for conventional renewable fuel (corn ethanol) and inclusion of corn ethanol in California's LCFS program were eliminated, it is difficult to estimate what blend rate for ethanol would result. By 2006-2007 ethanol had mostly replaced MTBE as an oxygenate for gasoline. The Clean Air Act requires that an oxygenate be added to gasoline to reduce carbon monoxide emissions in the winter in areas where carbon monoxide levels tend to increase. Hence even without a mandate ethanol would be added to gasoline as an oxygenate and because it increases the octane level. Nevertheless, in 2006 the RFS required that 4 billion gallons of ethanol be added to the almost 140 billion gallons of gasoline consumed for a blend rate under 3%. European drivers use mostly E5. It costs more to produce a gallon of ethanol than a gallon of gasoline. Thus, over time it seems reasonable to assume that more than half the land (21 million acres) harvested for corn to produce ethanol could become available for conservation or for growing crops for food or feed. 9. Much petroleum diesel fuel sold in the US contains at least 1% biodiesel because its lubricating properties prolong the expected life of some engine parts. However, the average biodiesel content of petroleum diesel is well under 5% and biodiesel producers struggle to make a profit without the federal blender's credit of $1.00 and additional state credits like California's Low Carbon Fuel Standard (LCFS) credit. Should the federal government end its biomass-based diesel volume mandates and its blenders credit and vegetable oils for biodiesel and renewable diesel be removed from California's LCFS program, one would expect substantial reduction in soybean acreage planted for biofuels in the US. 10. It is important to remove both corn ethanol and soy-based biodiesel and renewable diesel from California's LCFS at the same time. If only corn is removed, industrial corn farmers may just switch production to soybeans for renewable diesel or biodiesel. This would not solve any of the soil degradation, biodiversity crisis, water pollution or groundwater supply problems to which these biofuel crops have contributed. 11. We find CARB references to tallow and used cooking oil (UCO) as waste products misleading. Tallow is used as cooking oil and as an ingredient to soap, candles, salves, and lubricants. Used cooking oil is used as an animal feed and to make soap. Using tallow and UCO to produce biodiesel or renewable diesel requires the substitution of vegetable oils in the production of these other products. When this occurs, more crops must be grown. The global supply of tallow and UCO tends to grow very slowly. Also, it is relatively easy to disguise vegetable oil as UCO and practically impossible to set up and enforce certification programs that ensure this is not occurring. Providing larger credits for UCO and tallow creates incentives for this type of fraud. We recommend that the LCFS adopt measures similar to ones the EU has adopted to deal with these problems: institute caps on the amount of UCO eligible for biofuel credits and ban edible tallow. Also noteworthy, is the EU's goal of reserving all UCO and tallow for sustainable aviation fuel by 2030. 12. We recommend that CARB thoroughly study the EU-commissioned Global Biosphere Management Model (Globiom model) which led the EU to cap targets for crop-based biofuels at 2020 levels. The Globiom report concluded that "palm and soy based biodiesel have LUC (land use change) emissions that exceed the full life cycle emissions of fossil diesel" even before adding direct emissions for soy or palm based biodiesel. This is because soybeans and palm are often grown in the tropics and this is where most new agricultural land is being developed. Vegetable oils are traded on global markets. When soy oil prices double the way they have since 2020, largely because of the expansion of renewable diesel production in the US, soybean producers, especially in Brazil (the largest producer of soybeans) and neighboring South American soybean producers increase their efforts to create new farmland. Clearly the assumptions and structure of the GTAP model that CARB is using to calculate LUCs associated with vegetable oil-based diesel is very different from those of the Globiom model. 13. We think the approach used in a recent PNAS study which used actual land observations, biophysical models and partial equilibrium analysis is more appropriate for analyzing the effects of crop-based biofuels on greenhouse gas emissions than the emissions factors, trade model and general equilibrium approach CARB is currently using. We note that this recent PNAS study on the environmental outcomes of the US Renewable Fuel Standard found that even modest changes in land use in US agriculture from 2006-2016 resulting from crop changes for increased biofuel production had considerable negative environmental effects. As a result, the study found the carbon intensity of corn ethanol to be definitely no less than gasoline and more likely 24% higher. It is impossible to have confidence in the carbon intensity numbers developed by CARB for crop-based biofuels because of the long standing disagreement over whether these carbon intensities are greater or lower than those of fossil fuels. The methodology used by CARB to calculate the carbon intensities of crop-based fuels does not help. Consider the many environmental problems of monoculture corn and soy farms in the US for which the federal RFS and California state LCFS share responsibility. It is time to remove crop-based biofuels from California's LCFS. |
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Date and Time Comment Was Submitted | 2023-09-28 16:45:39 |
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