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Please find attached a study by Promotum, a fuels and chemicals
consultancy, that was commissioned by Natural Resources Defense
Council, Union of Concerned Scientists, and Environmental Defense
Fund. 

The study demonstrates that a 10% target by 2020 is achievable
using a variety of lower carbon fuels as well as technologies to
reduce the carbon-intensity of refining and crude oil production.
If the LCFS provides the credit incentive value assessed in ARB
staff's proposed ISOR, a 15% reduction target could even be
achieved by 2025. 

Additional information can be found at:
http://www.nrdc.org/media/2015/150202.asp

Best regards,
Simon Mui, Ph.D.
Senior Scientist and Director
California Vehicles and Fuels
Natural Resources Defense Council